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American Journal of Epidemiology Advance Access published online on April 15, 2008

American Journal of Epidemiology, doi:10.1093/aje/kwn072
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American Journal of Epidemiology © The Author 2008. Published by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

Practice of Epidemiology

Association of Site-specific and Participant-specific Factors with Retention of Children in a Long-term Pediatric HIV Cohort Study

Paige L. Williams1,2, Russell Van Dyke3, Michelle Eagle4, Dorothy Smith5, Carol Vincent6, Gregory Ciupak7, James Oleske8, George R. Seage, III1,9 for the PACTG 219C Team

1 Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA
2 Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA
3 Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Tulane University Health Sciences Center, New Orleans, LA
4 Division of Pediatric Infectious Disease, University of Florida, Jacksonville, FL
5 Department of Pediatrics, UMass Memorial Medical Center, Worcester, MA
6 Department of Allergy and Immunology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA
7 Frontier Science and Technology Research Foundation, Amherst, NY
8 Division of Allergy/Immunology, UMDNJ New Jersey Medical School, Newark, NJ
9 Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA

Correspondence to Dr. Paige L. Williams, Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health, 665 Huntington Avenue, FXB-607, Boston, MA 02115-6017 (e-mail: paige{at}sdac.harvard.edu).

Received for publication September 6, 2007. Accepted for publication March 4, 2008.

Minimizing loss to follow-up (LTFU) in long-term cohort studies is essential for reducing bias and maintaining statistical stability. However, factors associated with attrition of children in observational studies have received little attention. The authors used survival analysis methods to evaluate the association of participant and site characteristics with time to LTFU in a multicenter cohort study conducted in the United States of 2,693 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected and 1,370 HIV-exposed-but-uninfected children enrolled in 2000–2004. As of 2004, 91% of HIV-infected and 86% of uninfected children had been retained in the study. Among the HIV infected, factors associated with higher risk of LTFU included site prohibition of participant compensation, low caregiver educational level, age >15 years, and higher viral load, whereas death of a family member was associated with better retention. Among uninfected children, sites accruing low numbers of subjects, social worker responsible for retention, young age (1–2 years), and birth abnormalities were associated with higher risk of LTFU. Occurrences of certain stressful life events, such as a death in the family or financial instability, were associated with higher retention, but risk of LTFU increased when children started school or mothers began employment. Although participant characteristics are difficult to modify, the authors identified several potentially modifiable site practices that could be targeted to improve retention.

adolescent; caregivers; child; cohort studies; HIV; multicenter study; patient participation; proportional hazards model

Abbreviations: HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; HR, hazard ratio; LTFU, loss to follow-up; PACTG, Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group


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