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American Journal of Epidemiology Advance Access originally published online on April 3, 2007
American Journal of Epidemiology 2007 165(12):1413-1423; doi:10.1093/aje/kwm031
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American Journal of Epidemiology Copyright © 2007 by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health All rights reserved; printed in U.S.A.

ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTIONS

Cardiorespiratory Fitness as a Predictor of Nonfatal Cardiovascular Events in Asymptomatic Women and Men

Xuemei Sui1, Michael J. LaMonte2 and Steven N. Blair3

1 The Cooper Institute, Dallas, TX
2 Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Buffalo, Buffalo, NY
3 Department of Exercise Science, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC

Correspondence to Dr. Xuemei Sui, Department of Exercise Science, Arnold School of Public Health, 921 Assembly Street, Columbia, SC 29208 (e-mail: msui{at}gwm.sc.edu).

Received for publication August 29, 2006. Accepted for publication November 20, 2006.

Prospective data relating cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) with nonfatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) events are limited to studies in men or studies of combined fatal and nonfatal CVD endpoints. The authors examined the association between CRF and nonfatal CVD events in 20,728 men and 5,909 women without CVD at baseline. All participants performed a maximal treadmill exercise test and completed a follow-up health survey in the Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study (Dallas, Texas) between 1971 and 2004. There were 1,512 events in men and 159 events in women during an average follow-up of 10 years. Across incremental CRF groups, age- and examination year-adjusted event rates per 10,000 person-years were 107.9, 75.2, and 50.3 in men (ptrend < 0.001) and 41.9, 27.7, and 20.8 in women (ptrend = 0.002). After further adjustment for smoking, alcohol intake, family history of CVD, and abnormal exercise electrocardiogram responses, hazard ratios were 1.00 (referent), 0.82 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72, 0.94), and 0.61 (95% CI: 0.53, 0.71) in men, ptrend < 0.001, and were 1.00 (referent), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.49, 1.13), and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.40, 0.98) in women, ptrend = 0.05. After adjustment for other CVD predictors, the association remained significant in men but not in women.

cardiovascular diseases; cerebrovascular accident; exercise; primary prevention; women

Abbreviations: ACLS, Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study; CI, confidence interval; CRF, cardiorespiratory fitness; CVD, cardiovascular disease; SD, standard deviation


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