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American Journal of Epidemiology Advance Access originally published online on June 19, 2006
American Journal of Epidemiology 2006 164(3):292-293; doi:10.1093/aje/kwj221
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American Journal of Epidemiology Copyright © 2006 by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health All rights reserved; printed in U.S.A.

Letter to the Editor

RE: "BAYESIAN PROJECTIONS: WHAT ARE THE EFFECTS OF EXCLUDING DATA FROM YOUNGER AGE GROUPS?"

Mark S. Clements1, Timo Hakulinen2 and Suresh H. Moolgavkar3

1 National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
2 Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research, Finnish Cancer Registry, FI-00170 Helsinki, Finland
3 Biostatistics Modeling and Methods, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98109

(e-mail: mark.clements@anu.edu.au)

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Baker and Bray (1Go) continue Bray's thoughtful development of a particular Bayesian age-period-cohort model for cancer rate projections. This model has an elegant formulation and has brought to the forefront a Bayesian interpretation of cancer projections. However, we feel that there are more appropriate . . . [Full Text of this Article]


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