American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 115, No. 1: 92-106
Copyright © 1982 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health
research-article |
A REVIEW OF GOODNESS OF FIT STATISTICS FOR USE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODELS1
Send reprint requests to Dr. Lemeshow at this address
Several statistics have recently been proposed for the purpose of assessing the goodness of fit of an estimated logistic regression model. These statistics are reviewed and compared to other, less formal, procedures in the context of applications in epidemiologic research. One statistic is recommended for use and its computation is illustrated using data from a recent study of mortality of intensive care unit patients.
intensive care units; mortality; regression analysis; risk; statistics
From the Biostatistics/Epidemiology Program, Division of Public Health, School of Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003
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E. L. Knight, M. J. Stampfer, S. E. Hankinson, D. Spiegelman, and G. C. Curhan The Impact of Protein Intake on Renal Function Decline in Women with Normal Renal Function or Mild Renal Insufficiency Ann Intern Med, March 18, 2003; 138(6): 460 - 467. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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J. B. Dimick, J. A. Cowan Jr, J. A. Knol, and G. R. Upchurch Jr Hepatic Resection in the United States: Indications, Outcomes, and Hospital Procedural Volumes From a Nationally Representative Database Arch Surg, February 1, 2003; 138(2): 185 - 191. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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R. L. Mehta, M. T. Pascual, S. Soroko, G. M. Chertow, and for the PICARD Study Group Diuretics, Mortality, and Nonrecovery of Renal Function in Acute Renal Failure JAMA, November 27, 2002; 288(20): 2547 - 2553. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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H Miles, E Litton, A Curran, L Goldsworthy, P Sharples, and A J Henderson The PATRIARCH Study. Using outcome measures for league tables: Can a North American prediction of admission score be used in a United Kingdom children's emergency department? Emerg. Med. J., November 1, 2002; 19(6): 536 - 538. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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 S M Tibby, D Taylor, M Festa, S Hanna, M Hatherill, G Jones, P Habibi, A Durward, and I A Murdoch A comparison of three scoring systems for mortality risk among retrieved intensive care patients Arch. Dis. Child., November 1, 2002; 87(5): 421 - 425. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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W. S. Weintraub Prediction Scores After Myocardial Infarction: Value, Limitations, and Future Directions Circulation, October 29, 2002; 106(18): 2292 - 2293. [Full Text] [PDF]
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M. Singh, G. S. Reeder, S. J. Jacobsen, S. Weston, J. Killian, and V. L. Roger Scores for Post-Myocardial Infarction Risk Stratification in the Community Circulation, October 29, 2002; 106(18): 2309 - 2314. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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M. S. Vaughan-Sarrazin, E. L. Hannan, C. J. Gormley, and G. E. Rosenthal Mortality in Medicare Beneficiaries Following Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery in States With and Without Certificate of Need Regulation JAMA, October 16, 2002; 288(15): 1859 - 1866. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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N. Koren-Morag, D. Tanne, E. Graff, U. Goldbourt, and for the Bezafibrate Infarction Prevention Study Gr Low- and High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Ischemic Cerebrovascular Disease: The Bezafibrate Infarction Prevention Registry Arch Intern Med, May 13, 2002; 162(9): 993 - 999. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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R. L. Mehta, M. T. Pascual, C. G. Gruta, S. Zhuang, and G. M. Chertow Refining Predictive Models in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Renal Failure J. Am. Soc. Nephrol., May 1, 2002; 13(5): 1350 - 1357. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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S. B. Soumerai, T. J. McLaughlin, D. Ross-Degnan, C. L. Christiansen, and J. H. Gurwitz Effectiveness of Thrombolytic Therapy for Acute Myocardial Infarction in the Elderly: Cause for Concern in the Old-Old Arch Intern Med, March 11, 2002; 162(5): 561 - 568. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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M. A. Schreiber, N. Aoki, B. G. Scott, and J. R. Beck Determinants of Mortality in Patients With Severe Blunt Head Injury Arch Surg, March 1, 2002; 137(3): 285 - 290. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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A J Henderson, L Garland, S Warne, L Bailey, P Weir, and S Edees Risk adjusted mortality of critical illness in a defined geographical region Arch. Dis. Child., March 1, 2002; 86(3): 194 - 199. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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V. Pettila, C. Melot, F. Lopes-Ferreira, and J.-L. Vincent Sequential Assessment of Multiple Organ Dysfunction as a Predictor of Outcome JAMA, February 13, 2002; 287(6): 713 - 714. [Full Text] [PDF]
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D. Tanne, N. Koren-Morag, E. Graff, and U. Goldbourt Blood Lipids and First-Ever Ischemic Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack in the Bezafibrate Infarction Prevention (BIP) Registry: High Triglycerides Constitute an Independent Risk Factor Circulation, December 11, 2001; 104(24): 2892 - 2897. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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D. C. ANGUS, W. T. LINDE-ZWIRBLE, G. CLERMONT, M. F. GRIFFIN, and R. H. CLARK Epidemiology of Neonatal Respiratory Failure in the United States . Projections from California and New York Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., October 1, 2001; 164(7): 1154 - 1160. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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R. A. Incalzi, V. Bellia, F. Catalano, N. Scichilone, C. Imperiale, S. Maggi, and F. Rengo Evaluation of Health Outcomes in Elderly Patients With Asthma and COPD Using Disease-Specific and Generic Instruments : The Salute Respiratoria nell'Anziano (Sa.R.A.) Study Chest, September 1, 2001; 120(3): 734 - 742. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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C Laurent, D Henzel, C Mulanga-Kabeya, G Maertens, B Larouze, and E Delaporte Seroepidemiological survey of hepatitis C virus among commercial sex workers and pregnant women in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo Int. J. Epidemiol., August 1, 2001; 30(4): 872 - 877. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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L. W. Doyle and for the Victorian Infant Collaborative Study Group Outcome at 5 Years of Age of Children 23 to 27 Weeks' Gestation: Refining the Prognosis Pediatrics, July 1, 2001; 108(1): 134 - 141. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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R. L. Lins, M. Elseviers, R. Daelemans, and M. E. De Broe Problems in the development, validation and adaptation of prognostic models for acute renal failure Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., June 1, 2001; 16(6): 1098 - 1101. [Full Text] [PDF]
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