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American Journal of Epidemiology Advance Access originally published online on March 14, 2008
American Journal of Epidemiology 2008 167(10):1155-1163; doi:10.1093/aje/kwn017
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American Journal of Epidemiology © The Author 2008. Published by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTIONS

Determinants and Outcomes of Serious Attempted Suicide: A Nationwide Study in Finland, 1996–2003

Jari Haukka1,2, Kirsi Suominen1,3, Timo Partonen1 and Jouko Lönnqvist1,4

1 Department of Mental Health and Alcohol Research, National Public Health Institute, Helsinki, Finland
2 School of Public Health, University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland
3 Department of Psychiatry, Jorvi Hospital, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Espoo, Finland
4 Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland

Correspondence to Dr. Jari Haukka, National Public Health Institute, Mannerheimintie 166, FIN-00800 Helsinki, Finland (e-mail: jari.haukka{at}ktl.fi).

Received for publication August 31, 2007. Accepted for publication January 16, 2008.


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 
Suicide is among the 10 leading causes of death. Attempted suicide is 10–40 times more frequent than completed suicide and is the strongest single predictor of subsequent suicide. The current study population included all persons in Finland who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of attempted suicide between 1996 and 2003 (N = 18,199). Information on background variables and mortality was obtained by register linkage. The risk of repeated attempted suicide was 30% and the risk of suicide was 10%. The risks of repeated attempted suicide, completed suicide, and death from any cause were high immediately after discharge from the hospital. Analysis of competing causes of death revealed that while alcohol-related disorder was not associated with suicide, it markedly increased the risk of other violent death: The subdistribution hazards rate (SHR) was 2.61 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.12, 3.21). Schizophrenia-related disorders (SHR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.57, 2.21) and mood disorders (SHR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.47, 2.01) were associated with the risk of suicide. The risks of suicide and all-cause mortality were extremely high immediately after hospitalization for attempted suicide.

mental disorders; mortality; suicide; suicide, attempted


Abbreviations: ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 
Suicidal behavior is a major public health problem in developed countries. Suicide is among the 10 leading causes of death for all age groups in most countries for which information is available (1). Furthermore, attempted suicide may be up to 10–40 times more frequent than completed suicide, and it is clearly the strongest single clinical predictor of subsequent suicide. Thus, suicide prevention has become central to mental health policy in many countries (26).

Most previous epidemiologic studies have focused on completed suicide rather than attempted suicide (7), since data resulting from the former are systematically gathered. Little attention has been paid to persons who are hospitalized after attempted suicide, despite accumulating evidence that their rate of subsequent suicide is much higher than expected (810). However, hospitalization after attempted suicide offers a chance for treatment intervention in a group well known to be at high risk for later suicide.

Attempted suicide is more difficult to study than completed suicide because it lacks generally approved reporting procedures (11). Thus, most previous studies of attempted suicide have been based on data from one or more hospitals or from one city or province, and there have been few nationwide studies. In addition, most previous outcome studies have only investigated completed suicide after attempted suicide, not both nonfatal and fatal further suicidal behavior. Furthermore, most research on suicide after nonfatal self-harm has been poor, using small and highly selected samples, weak methods for detecting suicide during follow-up, and flawed analysis (9, 12). The reason for the use of selected samples and the failure to detect suicides during follow-up is usually the lack of national records, which rules out complete tracking of individuals.

Recently, a large-sample study of repeated suicide attempts confirmed that the only factor differentiating people with more than four repetitions from people with no repetition was personality disorder (13). In a greater than 2-year follow-up study of 11,583 deliberate self-harm patients' suicides, accidental poisonings were much more frequent than in the general population (14). In addition, deaths due to accidents other than poisoning, as well as overall mortality, were more frequent than expected (14). Deaths due to suicide and accidents occurred at the beginning of follow-up; deaths due to other causes were fairly evenly spread over the follow-up period. In an urban catchment area in Helsinki, Finland, a mortality rate 15 times higher than expected was found among suicide attempters in follow-up of an unselected sample of 2,782 suicide attempters (15). Mortality was highest in the first year after the suicide attempt, and male sex, single marital status, retirement, drug overdose as a suicide method, an index suicide attempt not involving alcohol, and a repeated suicide attempt were risk factors for mortality.

In a nationwide study, we investigated the epidemiology of repeated suicide attempts and mortality among all first-time hospitalized suicide attempters in Finland during the period 1996–2003. We aimed to determine the risk of repeated suicide attempts, completed suicide, and death due to other causes in these patients and to investigate risk factors for these three outcomes in this population. Age, sex, mental disorders, and the method of the first suicide attempt, which were the factors contributing the most to the risk of subsequent attempts and mortality (16, 17), were used as explanatory variables. With suicide prevention in mind, we wanted to analyze whether subgroups of the population differed with respect to cause of death.


    MATERIALS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 
Study population
The study population included all persons in Finland who were hospitalized with a diagnosis of attempted suicide (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10), codes X60–X84, code Z72.8, or code Z91.5) from January 1, 1996, to December 31, 2003 (the first hospital treatment was considered the index hospitalization) but had no prior hospitalizations due to a suicide attempt. Only patients who were at least 12 years old when the index hospitalization began were included.

The hospitalization data were obtained from the National Hospital Discharge Register and included the dates of hospital admission and discharge and the diagnosis code. The accuracy of data on psychiatric diagnoses in the Finnish Hospital Discharge Register was assessed in 1986 and found to be excellent: The diagnosis in the register and the diagnosis in the hospital case notes were identical in 99 percent of cases for schizophrenia and 98 percent of cases for all mental disorders (1821). Especially when a broad concept of schizophrenia was applied, the diagnoses of the register were accurate (93 percent of reviewed cases fulfilled the criteria) (19). Causes of death were obtained from the Causes of Death Register of Statistics Finland and were categorized using two different classifications. Deaths were initially classified as suicides (ICD-10 codes X60–X84), other violent deaths (ICD-10 codes V01–X59 and X85–Y84), or deaths due to other causes.

The following information was eventually obtained for each individual in the study population by linking the National Hospital Discharge Register with the Causes of Death Register: sex, age at the time of index hospitalization, date of index hospitalization, prior hospitalizations due to psychiatric causes, and prior hospitalizations related to alcohol use (ICD-10 code F10). Prior hospitalizations due to psychiatric causes were categorized as being related to schizophrenia or schizotypal and delusional disorders (ICD-10 codes F20–F29), mood disorders (ICD-10 codes F30–F39), or personality disorders (ICD-10 codes F60–F69). If there were hospitalizations in more than one category, the above order was used; that is, codes F20–F29 were used before other diagnoses, and codes F30–F39 were used before codes F60–F69. During the follow-up period, any hospitalizations due to attempted suicide were recorded and their number was used as a time-varying variable.

The study population consisted of 18,199 persons, whose baseline characteristics are shown in table 1. The entire study population accumulated 65,344 person-years of follow-up, and the mean follow-up time was 3.6 years. We excluded the duration of hospitalization episodes (2,277 person-years) from the analysis of suicide attempts, because an individual is not at risk of hospitalization when he or she is already in a hospital.


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TABLE 1. Characteristics of suicide attempters at the first attempt and their causes of death, Finland, 1996–2003

 
Data analysis
For each individual, the follow-up time was split into shorter time periods delineated by any recurrent hospitalization episodes due to suicide attempts. Thus, the follow-up time of each individual consisted of several contiguous time periods, each defined by specific entry and exit times. This allowed us to use time since previous suicide attempt and number of previous suicide attempts as time-varying covariates in the models. We also divided time since discharge from the hospital into contiguous periods in order to study the development of risk of the endpoint event (death or attempted suicide) as a function of time.

We modeled data with a Poisson regression model and Cox proportional hazards regression with a counting process approach (22). Poisson regression was applied because it makes it possible to include more than one time scale in the analysis (in Cox's proportional hazards regression, only one time scale at a time is possible). It also provides good estimates of relative risk (23). In this study, time since the start of follow-up, time since the last discharge from the hospital, and/or calendar month were the time scales of interest. Modeling was conducted using death or recurrent attempted suicide as outcome variables and the end of follow-up as censoring time. To take into account the multiple time periods from one individual in the Cox model, we calculated robust variance estimators based on the grouped jackknife method. We also analyzed risk factors for competing risks of death in order to check whether risk factors for different causes of death varied (24). Data analyses were carried out using R software (25).


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 
We recorded 25,321 serious, hospital-treated attempted suicides during the follow-up period of 8 years, of which 7,122 were repeat attempts; altogether, there were 18,199 persons with attempted suicide. The number of new suicide attempters remained fairly stable over the study period. Self-poisoning remaining the most frequent method throughout the study period (table 2). On the basis of our data, the incidence of first attempted suicide leading to hospitalization in Finland was approximately 44 per 100,000 person-years (based on an average Finnish population size of 5.1 million during the 8-year follow-up time).


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TABLE 2. Frequencies of first hospital-treated attempted suicide in Finland from 1996 to 2003, by year of first attempt and method of attempt

 
The incidence of repeated attempted suicide was higher among women than among men (table 3). The highest risk of repeated attempted suicide was associated with the age group 30–40 years. Having any diagnosis of a mental disorder or alcohol-related disorder before baseline was associated with higher risk of recurrent suicide attempts and higher risk of repeated suicide attempts during follow-up. All-cause mortality consistently increased with age and was substantially lower among females (hazard ratio = 0.52, 95 percent confidence interval: 0.47, 0.56) (table 4). Having a mental disorder was not associated with mortality, but having an alcohol-related disorder before baseline increased the risk of mortality.


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TABLE 3. Univariate rate ratios for repeated attempted suicide based on a Poisson model and hazard ratios for repeated attempted suicide based on a multivariate Cox model, Finland, 1996–2003

 

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TABLE 4. Univariate rate ratios for all-cause mortality based on a Poisson model and hazard ratios for all-cause mortality based on a multivariate Cox model, Finland, 1996–2003

 
The curves of cumulative events showed that the risk of repeated attempted suicide was nearly 30 percent and the risk of suicide mortality was nearly 10 percent during the 8-year follow-up period (figure 1). The risks of repeated attempted suicide, completed suicide, and death from any cause were high immediately after discharge from the hospital (figure 2). Especially, the risk of suicide decreased greatly after the first week following discharge.


Figure 1
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FIGURE 1. Cumulative numbers of first repeated attempted suicides (dotted-and-dashed line), deaths from all causes (solid line), and completed suicides (dashed line) during an 8-year follow-up period, Finland, 1996–2003.

 

Figure 2
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FIGURE 2. Rate ratios (RRs) for attempted suicide, completed suicide, and death from all causes according to time since discharge from a hospital after attempted suicide, Finland, 1996–2003. Results were adjusted for sex, age, baseline diagnosis, and time since the start of follow-up. The reference period was the first week after hospital discharge. Dashed lines, 95% confidence interval.

 
We detected significant seasonal variation in suicide attempts using the Poisson regression model with age, sex, baseline diagnosis, follow-up period, and calendar month included as explanatory variables (likelihood ratio test: {chi}112 = 27.0, p = 0.005) but no seasonal variation for the other endpoints. The incidence of attempted suicide was lowest in December and highest in April.

Analysis of competing causes of death revealed that while alcohol-related disorder was not associated with suicide, it markedly increased the risk of other violent death; the subdistribution hazards rate was 2.61 (95 percent confidence interval: 2.12, 3.21) (table 5). Schizophrenia-related disorders or mood disorders nearly doubled the risk of suicide but had little effect on other causes of death. If the index method of attempting suicide was use of a firearm (ICD-10 code X74), a higher subsequent risk of suicide was observed. An index suicide attempt method of jumping from a high place (ICD-10 code X80) predicted higher violent death mortality. Poisoning (ICD-10 codes X61–X69) and self-harm by a sharp object (ICD-10 code X78) as methods in the first suicide attempt were associated with lower risks of suicide.


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TABLE 5. Mortality hazards rates based on a subdistribution model accounting for three competing causes of death, Finland, 1996–2003

 

    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 
Our findings suggest that serious attempted suicide and completed suicide have both common and distinct risk factors. Mental disorders are associated with both outcomes, whereas alcohol-related disorders are associated with violent death. This is in line with earlier findings (16).

To our knowledge, this is the first study to have investigated outcomes for all hospitalized attempted-suicide patients in a large nationwide cohort over an 8-year period. Earlier outcome studies of attempted suicide have been based on samples from one or more hospitals or other entities treating attempted-suicide patients. Our cohort included follow-up data from all hospitalized suicide attempters in Finland from 1997 to 2003 (26). In addition, we were able to investigate both repeat suicide attempts and overall deaths, including eventual suicides and violent deaths, whereas most previous outcome studies have concentrated either on repeat attempts or on fatal outcomes.

In the present study, suicide attempters were more often women. Previously, Finland has been one of the few countries where men have reportedly attempted suicide more often than women (27). However, when comparing the present results with earlier findings, it should be noted that this study dealt with the most serious attempts, all of which led to hospitalization. Suicide attempters in our cohort more often had schizophrenia spectrum disorders and less often had mood or personality disorders than participants in previous studies. In this study, 18 percent of suicide attempters had schizophrenia spectrum disorders, while Beautrais et al. (28) reported 1 percent and Suominen et al. (29) reported 6 percent. Percentages for mood disorders were 28 percent in this study, as opposed to 77 percent in the study by Beautrais et al. (28) and 74 percent in the study by Suominen et al. (29). This conflicting finding is explained by the nature of our cohort, which included only hospitalized suicide attempters. Over one third of suicide attempters in this study suffered from alcohol-use disorders, which accords with the findings of previous studies (2830). Moreover, we found seasonal variation only in attempted suicide, not in completed suicides or other causes of death.

In a systematic review, Owens et al. (9) estimated that 16 percent (interquartile range, 12–25) of suicide attempters repeat their attempt and 1.8 percent (interquartile range, 0.8–2.6) commit suicide within 1 year, which is well comparable with the 12 percent observed in this study. However, findings regarding fatal and nonfatal repetition of self-harm have been inconsistent (9). In our study, the suicide rate in the first year was 3.2 percent, which is higher than the 1.8 percent obtained in the meta-analysis (9). In line with previous studies, overall mortality in the present study was high immediately after attempted suicide (15, 3137).

Risk factors for a new suicide attempt during follow-up were a clinical diagnosis of mental disorder, an alcohol-use disorder, female sex, an age of 30–40 years, and repeated suicide attempts during follow-up. Risk factors for overall mortality were increasing age, male sex, repeated suicide attempts during follow-up, and alcohol-use disorders, but not mental disorders. The risk factors for repeated suicidal behavior were roughly similar to those found in previous studies (9, 3640). Interestingly, patients with mood disorders had a 59 percent higher risk and patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorders a 53 percent higher risk of a subsequent suicide attempt during follow-up than did persons without these disorders. These numbers are considerably lower than the odds ratios of 3.43 for schizophrenia and 2.83 for depression reported by Colman et al. (39). This discrepancy could be at least partly due to the use of different criteria for cases; in the current study, all patients were hospitalized, but in the study by Colman et al. (39), the study population consisted of patients treated in the emergency room. In general, our results support earlier findings that persons committing suicide and persons engaging in medically serious suicide attempts comprise two overlapping populations (16).

It was evident that the risk of competing causes of death varied greatly according to the background factors. The risk of suicide was substantially higher among persons with mental disorders, but the risk of violent death was not elevated. On the other hand, alcohol was a major factor associated with violent deaths but not with suicides. Lunetta et al. (41) found a high percentage (30.5 percent) of alcohol-positive deaths among violent deaths, including suicides. This discrepancy could be due to differences in study populations: In this study, we had a high-risk population, but Lunetta et al. (41) observed the general population.

In summary, people with mental health disorders form a subpopulation with a higher risk of suicide, and people with alcohol-related diagnoses are at higher risk of violent death. However, it is reasonable to assume that many violent, alcohol-related deaths are inherently connected to suicidal behavior. Thus, it could be questionable to make a clear distinction between suicides and alcohol-related deaths. On the other hand, people with mental disorders clearly form a high-risk group with respect to suicide.

A major limitation of this study is that we were able to identify only hospital-treated suicide attempters. To our knowledge, no country in the world has collected official statistics on attempted suicide. Because the database we used was based on attempted suicide diagnoses recorded in a hospital discharge register, it is possible that we missed patients who had actually attempted suicide before hospitalization but whose attempt had not been recognized by health-care personnel. Overall, the accuracy of the National Hospital Discharge Register is good (19–21, 42, 43). However, we cannot exclude the possibility of some underreporting of attempted suicide in the present study.

Another limitation is that the diagnoses of mental disorders were not based on standardized diagnostic interview schedules but were clinical diagnoses made by the physicians treating the patients. Finally, generalization of these findings may be limited by the varying health-care practices and strategies between countries. For example, resource allocation between outpatient care and hospital care may differ greatly, and the intensity of and methods used in outpatient treatment may also vary.

In conclusion, our results show that concerning hospitalization due to attempted suicide, the risks of suicide and all-cause mortality were very high immediately after discharge. This implies that outpatient care after attempted suicide is of paramount importance. Another observation of clinical importance was that the risk factors for different causes of death varied considerably.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
This study was financially supported by a grant from the Jalmari and Rauha Ahokas Foundation.

The authors thank Kirsi Niinistö for checking the language of the manuscript.

Conflict of interest: none declared.


    References
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 References
 

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