Am J Epidemiol 2003; 157:1066-1070.
Copyright © 2003 by Johns
Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTIONS |
Invited Commentary: Timescale-dependent Mortality Effects of Air Pollution
From the Department of Statistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Received for publication January 10, 2002; accepted for publication March 13, 2002.
Abbreviations: Abbreviations: NMMAPS, National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study; PM10, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤10 µm; TSP, total suspended particulates.
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| INTRODUCTION |
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The concept of "harvesting," by whatever name, dates back to the early days of research on the health effects of air pollution. For example, Martin (1), summarizing the results of several London smog studies from the 1950s, noted the short timescale of response to high-air-pollution events. Referring specifically to the December 1952 event, Martin noted that "no cases of sudden death were found which could not have been explained by previous respiratory or cardiovascular lesions" (1, p. 969). Later in the same article, the author stated, "[S]ome of [those who died] might in the natural course have died within a few days. This hypothesis is supported by the compensatory fall of the mortality curve to subnormal levels often noticed after a pollution incident" (1, p. 974). Evidently, Martin was talking about what we now call harvesting, but in a context where both the air
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