Copyright © 2004 by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
SPECIAL ARTICLE |
Model-based Estimation of Relative Risks and Other Epidemiologic Measures in Studies of Common Outcomes and in Case-Control Studies
From the Departments of Epidemiology and Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA.
Some recent articles have discussed biased methods for estimating risk ratios from adjusted odds ratios when the outcome is common, and the problem of setting confidence limits for risk ratios. These articles have overlooked the extensive literature on valid estimation of risks, risk ratios, and risk differences from logistic and other models, including methods that remain valid when the outcome is common, and methods for risk and rate estimation from case-control studies. The present article describes how most of these methods can be subsumed under a general formulation that also encompasses traditional standardization methods and methods for projecting the impact of partially successful interventions. Approximate variance formulas for the resulting estimates allow interval estimation; these intervals can be closely approximated by rapid simulation procedures that require only standard software functions.
absolute risk; case-control studies; clinical trials; cohort studies; logistic regression; odds ratio; relative risk; risk assessment
Abbreviations: Abbreviation: GEE, generalized estimating equations.
![]()
CiteULike
Connotea
Del.icio.us What's this?
This article has been cited by other articles:
![]() |
C. C. John, P. Bangirana, J. Byarugaba, R. O. Opoka, R. Idro, A. M. Jurek, B. Wu, and M. J. Boivin Cerebral Malaria in Children Is Associated With Long-term Cognitive Impairment Pediatrics, July 1, 2008; 122(1): e92 - e99. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
J-L Martin, K Perez, M Mari-Dell'Olmo, and M Chiron Whiplash risk estimation based on linked hospital-police road crash data from France and Spain Inj. Prev., June 1, 2008; 14(3): 185 - 190. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
G. C.S. Smith, E. Celik, M. To, O. Khouri, K. H. Nicolaides, and the Fetal Medicine Foundation Second Trimester Scr Cervical Length at Mid-Pregnancy and the Risk of Primary Cesarean Delivery N. Engl. J. Med., March 27, 2008; 358(13): 1346 - 1353. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
T. J. Vanderweele and J. M. Robins Empirical and counterfactual conditions for sufficient cause interactions Biometrika, March 1, 2008; 95(1): 49 - 61. [Abstract] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
L. A. Jackson, P. Starkovich, M. Dunstan, O. Yu, J. Nelson, J. Dunn, T. Rees, A. Zavitkovsky, D. Maus, J. E. Froeschle, et al. Prospective Assessment of the Effect of Needle Length and Injection Site on the Risk of Local Reactions to the Fifth Diphtheria-Tetanus-Acellular Pertussis Vaccination Pediatrics, March 1, 2008; 121(3): e646 - e652. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Cox, S. F. Posner, A. P. Kourtis, and D. J. Jamieson Hospitalizations With Amphetamine Abuse Among Pregnant Women Obstet. Gynecol., February 1, 2008; 111(2): 341 - 347. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
C. Willi, P. Bodenmann, W. A. Ghali, P. D. Faris, and J. Cornuz Active Smoking and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis JAMA, December 12, 2007; 298(22): 2654 - 2664. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
A. V Perruccio, J D. Power, and E. M Badley The relative impact of 13 chronic conditions across three different outcomes J. Epidemiol. Community Health, December 1, 2007; 61(12): 1056 - 1061. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
Y. B. Cheung A Modified Least-Squares Regression Approach to the Estimation of Risk Difference Am. J. Epidemiol., December 1, 2007; 166(11): 1337 - 1344. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
A El-Metwally, S Halder, D Thompson, G J Macfarlane, and G T Jones Predictors of abdominal pain in schoolchildren: a 4-year population-based prospective study Arch. Dis. Child., December 1, 2007; 92(12): 1094 - 1098. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
R. J. Edison, K. Berg, A. Remaley, R. Kelley, C. Rotimi, R. E. Stevenson, and M. Muenke Adverse Birth Outcome Among Mothers With Low Serum Cholesterol Pediatrics, October 1, 2007; 120(4): 723 - 733. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
G. Y. Zou One relative risk versus two odds ratios: implications for meta-analyses involving paired and unpaired binary data Clinical Trials, February 1, 2007; 4(1): 25 - 31. [Abstract] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. J. Boivin, P. Bangirana, J. Byarugaba, R. O. Opoka, R. Idro, A. M. Jurek, and C. C. John Cognitive Impairment After Cerebral Malaria in Children: A Prospective Study Pediatrics, February 1, 2007; 119(2): e360 - e366. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
B E Hagel, J W Rizkallah, A Lamy, K L Belton, G S Jhangri, N Cherry, and B H Rowe Bicycle helmet prevalence two years after the introduction of mandatory use legislation for under 18 year olds in Alberta, Canada. Inj. Prev., August 1, 2006; 12(4): 262 - 265. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
J Genuneit, G Weinmayr, K Radon, H Dressel, D Windstetter, P Rzehak, C Vogelberg, W Leupold, D Nowak, E von Mutius, et al. Smoking and the incidence of asthma during adolescence: results of a large cohort study in Germany Thorax, July 1, 2006; 61(7): 572 - 578. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. R. Petersen and J. A. Deddens Re: "easy sas calculations for risk or prevalence ratios and differences". Am. J. Epidemiol., June 15, 2006; 163(12): 1158 - 1159. [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
W. O. Cooper, S. Hernandez-Diaz, P. G. Arbogast, J. A. Dudley, S. Dyer, P. S. Gideon, K. Hall, and W. A. Ray Major congenital malformations after first-trimester exposure to ACE inhibitors. N. Engl. J. Med., June 8, 2006; 354(23): 2443 - 2451. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. M. Pettigrew, K. P. Fennie, M. P. York, J. Daniels, and F. Ghaffar Variation in the Presence of Neuraminidase Genes among Streptococcus pneumoniae Isolates with Identical Sequence Types. Infect. Immun., June 1, 2006; 74(6): 3360 - 3365. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
P Cummings, F P Rivara, C M Olson, and K M Smith Changes in traffic crash mortality rates attributed to use of alcohol, or lack of a seat belt, air bag, motorcycle helmet, or bicycle helmet, United States, 1982-2001. Inj. Prev., June 1, 2006; 12(3): 148 - 154. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
J. C. Nelson, X.-C. Jiang, I. Tabas, A. Tall, and S. Shea Plasma Sphingomyelin and Subclinical Atherosclerosis: Findings from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Am. J. Epidemiol., May 15, 2006; 163(10): 903 - 912. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
Q. Yang, S. Greenland, and W. D. Flanders Associations of Maternal Age- and Parity-Related Factors With Trends in Low-Birthweight Rates: United States, 1980 Through 2000 Am J Public Health, May 1, 2006; 96(5): 856 - 861. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
K Atherton, N J Wiles, F E Lecky, S J Hawes, A J Silman, G J Macfarlane, and G T Jones Predictors of persistent neck pain after whiplash injury Emerg. Med. J., March 1, 2006; 23(3): 195 - 201. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. G. Leveille, C. C. Wee, and L. I. Iezzoni LEVEILLE ET AL. RESPOND Am J Public Health, March 1, 2006; 96(3): 398 - 399. [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
G Wynne-Jones, G J Macfarlane, A J Silman, and G T Jones Does physical trauma lead to an increase in the risk of new onset widespread pain? Ann Rheum Dis, March 1, 2006; 65(3): 391 - 393. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
C. SCHILLING, L. GALLICCHIO, S. R. MILLER, J. K. BABUS, L. M. LEWIS, H. ZACUR, and J. A. FLAWS CURRENT ALCOHOL USE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A REDUCED RISK OF HOT FLASHES IN MIDLIFE WOMEN Alcohol Alcohol., November 1, 2005; 40(6): 563 - 568. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
K. K. Ness, A. C. Mertens, M. M. Hudson, M. M. Wall, W. M. Leisenring, K. C. Oeffinger, C. A. Sklar, L. L. Robison, and J. G. Gurney Limitations on Physical Performance and Daily Activities among Long-Term Survivors of Childhood Cancer Ann Intern Med, November 1, 2005; 143(9): 639 - 647. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
V P Doria-Rose, P A Newcomb, and T R Levin Incomplete screening flexible sigmoidoscopy associated with female sex, age, and increased risk of colorectal cancer Gut, September 1, 2005; 54(9): 1273 - 1278. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
D. Spiegelman and E. Hertzmark Easy SAS Calculations for Risk or Prevalence Ratios and Differences Am. J. Epidemiol., August 1, 2005; 162(3): 199 - 200. [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||

















