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Am J Epidemiol 2003; 157:1092-1100.
Copyright © 2003 by Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health


ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTIONS

Abnormal Glucose Tolerance and the Risk of Cancer Death in the United States

Sharon H. Saydah1,2 , Catherine M. Loria3, Mark S. Eberhardt4 and Frederick L. Brancati1,5,6

1 Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
2 Social and Scientific Systems, Inc., Silver Spring, MD.
3 Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD.
4 Office of Analysis, Epidemiology, and Health Promotion, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, MD.
5 Department of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
6 Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD.

Although abnormal glucose tolerance is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease, its relation to cancer risk is less certain. Therefore, the authors performed a prospective cohort study using data from the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Mortality Study to determine this relation. This analysis focused upon a nationally representative sample of 3,054 adults aged 30–74 years who underwent an oral glucose tolerance test at baseline (1976–1980). Deaths were identified by searching national mortality files through 1992. Adults were classified as having either previously diagnosed diabetes (n = 247), undiagnosed diabetes (n = 180), impaired glucose tolerance (n = 477), or normal glucose tolerance (n = 2250). There were 195 cancer deaths during 40,024 person-years of follow-up. Compared with those having normal glucose tolerance, adults with impaired glucose tolerance had the greatest adjusted relative hazard of cancer mortality (relative hazard = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 3.31), followed by those with undiagnosed diabetes (relative hazard = 1.31, 95% CI: 0.48, 3.56) and diabetes (relative hazard = 1.13, 95% CI: 0.49, 2.62). These data suggest that, in the United States, impaired glucose tolerance is an independent predictor for cancer mortality.

diabetes mellitus; glucose tolerance test; mortality; neoplasms; nutrition surveys

Abbreviations: Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; ICD-9, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision; NHANES II, Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey; RR, relative risk.


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