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American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 146, No. 7: 586-591
Copyright © 1997 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health


research-article

Age and Secular Trends in Bone Lead Levels in Middle-aged and Elderly Men: Three-Year Longitudinal Follow-up in the Normative Aging Study

Rokho Kim1,2,, Chris Landrigan3, Peter Mossmann2, David Sparrow4 and Howard Hu1,2

1Occupational Health Program, Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health Boston, MA
2Channlng Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston, MA
3Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School Boston, MA
4The Normative Aging Study, Department of Veterans Affairs Outpatient Clinic Boston, MA

Reprint requests to Dr. Rokho Kim, Occupational Health Program, Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115

The goal of this study was to examine age and secular trends in bone and blood lead levels of community-exposed men. Bone and blood lead levels were measured twice, with a 3-year interval between measurements, among participants in a longitudinal study of aging. Seventy subjects (mean age = 66 years, age range = 52–83 years) with repeated measurements of bone and blood lead levels were studied. At the first evaluation, geometric mean lead levels in patella, tibia, and blood were 29.1 (standard deviation (SD) 1.8) µg/g. 17.5 (SD 2.0) µg/g, and 6.7 (SD 1.8) µg/dl, respectively. At the second evaluation, these levels were 22.2 (SD 1.8) µg/g. 17.9 (SD 1.7) µg/g, and 5.1 (SD 1.4) µg/dl, respectively. Cross-sectional analysis of each set of measurements indicated that, on average, a 1-year-older individual would have 2.7% and 2.4–3.2% higher levels of lead in patella and tibia, respectively. In contrast to the increasing age trend in cross-sectional analysis, the secular trend over time was decreasing for patella lead levels and stable for tibia lead levels. The authors conclude that in community-exposed middle-aged and elderly men, the biomarkers of exposure to lead are decreasing in patella and blood and unchanging in tibia as of the earty 1990s. The increasing age trend in bone lead levels in cross-sectional studies should be carefully interpreted in light of the birth cohort effect.

bone and bones; environmental exposure; lead; longitudinal studies


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