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American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 141, No. 12: 1117-1127
Copyright © 1995 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health


research-article

Body Size and Fat Distribution as Predictors of Coronary Heart Disease among Middle-aged and Older US Men

Eric B. Rimm1,2, Meir J. Stampfer1,2,4, Edward Giovannucci4, Alberto Ascherio1,2, Donna Spiegelman3, Graham A. Colditz1,4 and Walter C. Willett1,2,4

1Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health Boston, MA
2Department of Nutrition, Harvard School of Public Hearth Boston, MA
3Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health Boston, MA
4Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Women's Hospital Boston, MA

Reprint requests to Dr. Eric Rimm, Department of Nutrition, Harvard School of Public Health, 665 Huntingdon Avenue, Boston, MA 02115.

Obesity, android fat distribution, and other anthropometric measures have been associated with coronary heart disease in long-term prospective studies. However, fluctuations in weight due to age-related hormonal changes and changes in lifestyle practices may bias relative risk estimates over a long follow-up period. The authors prospectively studied the association between body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), waist-to-hip ratio, and height as independent predictors of incident coronary heart disease in a 3-year prospective study among 29,122 US men aged 40–75 years in 1986. The authors documented 420 incident coronary events during the follow-up period. Body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, short stature, and weight gain since age 21 were associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease. Among men younger than 65, after adjusting for other coronary risk factors, the relative risk was 1.72 (95% confidence interval (Cl) 1.10–2.69) for men with BMI of 25–28.9,2.61 (95% Cl 1.54–4.42) for BMI of 29.0–32.9, and 3.44 (95% Cl 1.67–7.09) for obese men with BMI ≥33 compared with lean men with BMI <23.0. Among men ≥65 years of age, the association between BMI and risk of coronary heart disease was much weaker. However, in this age group, the waist-to-hip ratio was a much stronger predictor of risk (relative risk = 2.76, 95% Cl 1.22–6.23 between extreme quintiles). These results suggest that for younger men, obesity, independent of fat distribution, is a strong risk factor for coronary heart disease. For older men, measures of fat distribution may be better than body mass index at predicting risk of coronary disease.

adipose tissue; aging; body mass index; coronary disease; obesity


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Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical SciencesHome page
D. F. Terry, M. Wilcox, M. A. McCormick, E. Lawler, and T. T. Perls
Cardiovascular Advantages Among the Offspring of Centenarians
J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci., May 1, 2003; 58(5): M425 - 431.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Clin. Nutr.Home page
R. P Stolk, R. Meijer, W. P. Mali, D. E Grobbee, and Y. van der Graaf
Ultrasound measurements of intraabdominal fat estimate the metabolic syndrome better than do measurements of waist circumference
Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, April 1, 2003; 77(4): 857 - 860.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ANGIOLOGYHome page
S. Yologlu, A. T. Sezgin, R. Ozdemir, N. Sezgin, C. Colak, E. Topal, and I. Barutcu
Identifying Risk Factors in a Mostly Overweight Patient Population with Coronary Artery Disease
Angiology, March 1, 2003; 54(2): 181 - 186.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
T. Kurth, J. M. Gaziano, K. Berger, C. S. Kase, K. M. Rexrode, N. R. Cook, J. E. Buring, and J. E. Manson
Body Mass Index and the Risk of Stroke in Men
Arch Intern Med, December 9, 2002; 162(22): 2557 - 2562.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Clin. Nutr.Home page
K. C Maki, M. H Davidson, R. Tsushima, N. Matsuo, I. Tokimitsu, D. M Umporowicz, M. R Dicklin, G. S Foster, K. A Ingram, B. D Anderson, et al.
Consumption of diacylglycerol oil as part of a reduced-energy diet enhances loss of body weight and fat in comparison with consumption of a triacylglycerol control oil
Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, December 1, 2002; 76(6): 1230 - 1236.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Nutr.Home page
E. A. Platz
Energy Imbalance and Prostate Cancer
J. Nutr., November 1, 2002; 132(11): 3471S - 3481.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Scand J Public HealthHome page
M. Lundberg, F. Diderichsen, and J. Hallqvist
Is the association between short stature and myocardial infarction explained by childhood exposures-a population-based case referent study (SHEEP)
Scand J Public Health, October 1, 2002; 30(4): 249 - 258.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
E. Cho, J. E. Manson, M. J. Stampfer, C. G. Solomon, G. A. Colditz, F. E. Speizer, W. C. Willett, and F. B. Hu
A Prospective Study of Obesity and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Among Diabetic Women
Diabetes Care, July 1, 2002; 25(7): 1142 - 1148.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
S. M. Grundy
Obesity, Metabolic Syndrome, and Coronary Atherosclerosis
Circulation, June 11, 2002; 105(23): 2696 - 2698.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Clin. Nutr.Home page
J.-M. Oppert, M.-A. Charles, N. Thibult, B. Guy-Grand, E. Eschwege, and P. Ducimetiere
Anthropometric estimates of muscle and fat mass in relation to cardiac and cancer mortality in men: the Paris Prospective Study
Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, June 1, 2002; 75(6): 1107 - 1113.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
S. Sans
Watch the belly to protect the heart
Eur. Heart J., May 1, 2002; 23(9): 687 - 689.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
H.-M. Lakka, T.A. Lakka, J. Tuomilehto, and J.T. Salonen
Abdominal obesity is associated with increased risk of acute coronary events in men
Eur. Heart J., May 1, 2002; 23(9): 706 - 713.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
P. Schnohr, J.S. Jensen, H. Scharling, and B.G. Nordestgaard
Coronary heart disease risk factors ranked by importance for the individual and community. A 21 year follow-up of 12000 men and women from The Copenhagen City Heart Study
Eur. Heart J., April 2, 2002; 23(8): 620 - 626.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Journal of the American Dental AssociationHome page
M. GLICK
Screening for traditional risk factors for cardiovascular disease: A review for oral health care providers
J Am Dent Assoc, March 1, 2002; 133(3): 291 - 300.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Clin. Nutr.Home page
D. J McNamara
Eggs and heart disease risk: perpetuating the misperception
Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, February 1, 2002; 75(2): 333 - 334.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Physiol. Endocrinol. Metab.Home page
S. A. Schreyer, C. Vick, T. C. Lystig, P. Mystkowski, and R. C. LeBoeuf
LDL receptor but not apolipoprotein E deficiency increases diet-induced obesity and diabetes in mice
Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab, January 1, 2002; 282(1): E207 - E214.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
A. E. Field, E. H. Coakley, A. Must, J. L. Spadano, N. Laird, W. H. Dietz, E. Rimm, and G. A. Colditz
Impact of Overweight on the Risk of Developing Common Chronic Diseases During a 10-Year Period
Arch Intern Med, July 9, 2001; 161(13): 1581 - 1586.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
A. Heiat, V. Vaccarino, and H. M. Krumholz
An Evidence-Based Assessment of Federal Guidelines for Overweight and Obesity as They Apply to Elderly Persons
Arch Intern Med, May 14, 2001; 161(9): 1194 - 1203.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
J. Al Suwaidi, S. T. Higano, D. R. Holmes Jr., R. Lennon, and A. Lerman
Obesity is independently associated with coronary endothelial dysfunction in patients with normal or mildly diseased coronary arteries
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., May 1, 2001; 37(6): 1523 - 1528.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab.Home page
M. Brochu, A. Tchernof, I. J. Dionne, C. K. Sites, G. H. Eltabbakh, E. A. H. Sims, and E. T. Poehlman
What Are the Physical Characteristics Associated with a Normal Metabolic Profile Despite a High Level of Obesity in Postmenopausal Women?
J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., March 1, 2001; 86(3): 1020 - 1025.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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PediatricsHome page
M. Visser, L. M. Bouter, G. M. McQuillan, M. H. Wener, and T. B. Harris
Low-Grade Systemic Inflammation in Overweight Children
Pediatrics, January 1, 2001; 107(1): 13e - 13.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
A. R. Dyer, J. Stamler, and P. Greenland
Associations of Weight Change and Weight Variability with Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality in the Chicago Western Electric Company Study
Am. J. Epidemiol., August 15, 2000; 152(4): 324 - 333.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
I. Baik, A. Ascherio, E. B. Rimm, E. Giovannucci, D. Spiegelman, M. J. Stampfer, and W. C. Willett
Adiposity and Mortality in Men
Am. J. Epidemiol., August 1, 2000; 152(3): 264 - 271.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
A. R. Folsom, L. H. Kushi, K. E. Anderson, P. J. Mink, J. E. Olson, C.-P. Hong, T. A. Sellers, D. Lazovich, and R. J. Prineas
Associations of General and Abdominal Obesity With Multiple Health Outcomes in Older Women: The Iowa Women's Health Study
Arch Intern Med, July 24, 2000; 160(14): 2117 - 2128.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
M. Kiernan and M. A. Winkleby
Identifying Patients for Weight-Loss Treatment: An Empirical Evaluation of the NHLBI Obesity Education Initiative Expert Panel Treatment Recommendations
Arch Intern Med, July 24, 2000; 160(14): 2169 - 2176.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
National Task Force on the Prevention and Treatmen
Overweight, Obesity, and Health Risk
Arch Intern Med, April 10, 2000; 160(7): 898 - 904.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Nutr Clin PractHome page
Instructions for Authors
Nutr Clin Pract, February 1, 2000; 15(1): 2 - 2.
[PDF]


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Nutr Clin PractHome page
C. M. Apovian
Invited Review: The Medical Management of Obesity and the Role of Pharmacotherapy: An Update
Nutr Clin Pract, February 1, 2000; 15(1): 5 - 12.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
M. Visser, L. M. Bouter, G. M. McQuillan, M. H. Wener, and T. B. Harris
Elevated C-Reactive Protein Levels in Overweight and Obese Adults
JAMA, December 8, 1999; 282(22): 2131 - 2135.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
F. Gueyffier, J.-P. Boissel, S. Pocock, F. Boutitie, J. Coope, J. Cutler, T. Ekbom, R. Fagard, L. Friedman, K. Kerlikowske, et al.
Identification of Risk Factors in Hypertensive Patients : Contribution of Randomized Controlled Trials Through an Individual Patient Database
Circulation, November 2, 1999; 100 (18): e88 - e94.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]



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