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American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 140, No. 6: 526-534
Copyright © 1994 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health


research-article

Screening for Peripheral Arterial Disease: The Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predictive Value of Noninvasive Tests in a Defined Population

Heather Spencer Feigelson1,2, Michael H. Criqui2,3,, Arnost Fronek4, Robert D. Langer2 and Craig A. Molgaard5

1Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA
2Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, Division of Epidemiology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
3Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
4Department of Surgery, Division of General Surgery, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
5Graduate School of Public Health, Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, San Diego State University San Diego, CA

Reprint requests to Dr. Michael Criqui, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, Division of Epidemiology-0607, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0607

Large vessel peripheral arterial disease (LV-PAD) is a common condition that causes significant morbidity and disability. The authors evaluated the individual components of a comprehensive noninvasive vascular examination to identify the most sensitive and specific measurements for diagnosing LV-PAD. This cohort, initially screened between 1979 and 1981 in Rancho Bernardo, California, included 421 normal subjects and 63 subjects with LV-PAD. Segmental blood pressure ratios and flow velocities by Doppler ultrasound were used to define cases of LV-PAD. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of each individual component of the diagnostic algorithm were determined. Overall, measurements of posterior tibial flow showed the highest sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and overall accuracy. In addition, an absent or non-recordable posterior tibial peak forward flow, occurring in 96% of all limbs with isolated posterior tibial disease, or an ankle ratio ≤0.8 considered in parallel yielded a test with sensitivity of 89%, specificity of 99%, positive predictive value of 90%, negative predictive value of 99%, and overall accuracy of 98%. These results Indicate that the vast majority of LV-PAD cases can be detected with a single measurement using a handheld Doppler flowmeter employed at the ankle.

peripheral vascular diseases; predictive value of tests; sensitivity and specificity


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