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American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 132, No. 3: 501-513
Copyright © 1990 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health


research-article

WEIGHT AS A RISK FACTOR FOR CLINICAL DIABETES IN WOMEN

GRAHAM A. COLDITZ, WALTER C. WILLETT1,2, MEIR J. STAMPFER1,2, JOANN E. MANSON1,3, CHARLES H. HENNEKENS1,3, RONALD A. ARKY4 and FRANK E. SPEIZER1

1The Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, and Brigham and Women's Hospital Boston, MA
2Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health Boston, MA
3Department of Preventive Medicine, Harvard Medical School Boston, MA
4Department of Medicine, The Mount Auburn Hospital and Harvard Medical School Cambridge, MA

Reprint requests to Dr. G. A. Colditz, Channing Laboratory, 180 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115-5899

To determine the relation of body mass index (weight/height2) with the risk of clinical non-insulin-dependent diabetes, the authors analyzed data from a cohort of 113,861 US women aged 30–55 years in 1976. During 8 years of follow-up (826,010 person-years), 873 definite cases were identified among women initially free from diagnosed diabetes. Among women of average body mass index, 23–23.9 kg/m2 the relative risk was 3.6 times that of women having a body mass index less than 22 kg/m2 The risk continued to increase above this level of body mass index. The authors observed a much weaker positive association with weight at age 18, and this association was eliminated after adjustment for current body mass index. Thus, weight gain after age 18 was a major determinant of risk. For an increase of 20–35 kg, the relative risk was 11.3, and for an increase of more than 35 kg, the relative risk was 17.3. Adjusting for family history did not appreciably alter the strong relation observed among women at average levels of body mass index. These data indicate that, at even average weight, women are at increased risk of clinical non-insulin-dependent diabetes and that the relation between body mass index and risk of diabetes is continuous.

diabetes mellitus, non-insulin-dependent; incidence; obesity; women


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Diabetes CareHome page
R. R. Wing, M. G. Goldstein, K. J. Acton, L. L. Birch, J. M. Jakicic, J. F. Sallis Jr., D. Smith-West, R. W. Jeffery, and R. S. Surwit
Behavioral Science Research in Diabetes: Lifestyle changes related to obesity, eating behavior, and physical activity
Diabetes Care, January 1, 2001; 24(1): 117 - 123.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Epidemiol. Community HealthHome page
H. E Resnick, P. Valsania, J. B Halter, and X. Lin
Relation of weight gain and weight loss on subsequent diabetes risk in overweight adults
J Epidemiol Community Health, August 1, 2000; 54(8): 596 - 602.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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CirculationHome page
C. G. Solomon, F. B. Hu, M. J. Stampfer, G. A. Colditz, F. E. Speizer, E. B. Rimm, W. C. Willett, and J. E. Manson
Moderate Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Among Women With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Circulation, August 1, 2000; 102(5): 494 - 499.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
F. B. Hu, M. J. Stampfer, G. A. Colditz, A. Ascherio, K. M. Rexrode, W. C. Willett, and J. E. Manson
Physical Activity and Risk of Stroke in Women
JAMA, June 14, 2000; 283(22): 2961 - 2967.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
J. A. Yanovski, S. Z. Yanovski, K. N. Sovik, T. T. Nguyen, P. M. O'Neil, and N. G. Sebring
A Prospective Study of Holiday Weight Gain
N. Engl. J. Med., March 23, 2000; 342(12): 861 - 867.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
J. T. Fine, G. A. Colditz, E. H. Coakley, G. Moseley, J. E. Manson, W. C. Willett, and I. Kawachi
A Prospective Study of Weight Change and Health-Related Quality of Life in Women
JAMA, December 8, 1999; 282(22): 2136 - 2142.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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The Journal of the Royal Society for the Promotion of HealthHome page
J.M. Tremble and D. Donaldson
Is continued weight gain inevitable in type 2 diabetes mellitus?
Perspectives in Public Health, December 1, 1999; 119(4): 235 - 239.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
F. B. Hu, R. J. Sigal, J. W. Rich-Edwards, G. A. Colditz, C. G. Solomon, W. C. Willett, F. E. Speizer, and J. E. Manson
Walking Compared With Vigorous Physical Activity and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Women: A Prospective Study
JAMA, October 20, 1999; 282(15): 1433 - 1439.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
F. L. Brancati, N.-Y. Wang, L. A. Mead, K.-Y. Liang, and M. J. Klag
Body Weight Patterns From 20 to 49 Years of Age and Subsequent Risk for Diabetes Mellitus: The Johns Hopkins Precursors Study
Arch Intern Med, May 10, 1999; 159(9): 957 - 963.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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PediatricsHome page
A. E. Field, L. Cheung, A. M. Wolf, D. B. Herzog, S. L. Gortmaker, and G. A. Colditz
Exposure to the Mass Media and Weight Concerns Among Girls
Pediatrics, March 1, 1999; 103(3): 36e - 36.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
I. Thune, I. Njolstad, M.-L. Lochen, and O. H. Forde
Physical Activity Improves the Metabolic Risk Profiles in Men and Women: The Tromso Study
Arch Intern Med, August 10, 1998; 158(15): 1633 - 1640.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
A. E. Field, R. M. Krauss, R. H. Eckel, W. H. Dietz, A. L. Franks, J. S. Marks, G. A. Gaesser, J. M. McGinnis, W. H. Foege, A. Werner, et al.
The Obesity Problem
N. Engl. J. Med., April 16, 1998; 338(16): 1156 - 1158.
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J. Nutr.Home page
W. H. Dietz
Childhood Weight Affects Adult Morbidity and Mortality
J. Nutr., February 1, 1998; 128(2): 411 - 411.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
C. D. Naylor, M. Sermer, E. Chen, D. Farine, and The Toronto Trihospital Gestational Diabetes Proje
Selective Screening for Gestational Diabetes Mellitus
N. Engl. J. Med., November 27, 1997; 337(22): 1591 - 1596.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
C. G. Solomon, W. C. Willett, V. J. Carey, J. Rich-Edwards, D. J. Hunter, G. A. Colditz, M. J. Stampfer, F. E. Speizer, D. Spiegelman, and J. E. Manson
A Prospective Study of Pregravid Determinants of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus
JAMA, October 1, 1997; 278(13): 1078 - 1083.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
K. M. Rexrode, C. H. Hennekens, W. C. Willett, G. A. Colditz, M. J. Stampfer, J. W. Rich-Edwards, F. E. Speizer, and J. E. Manson
A Prospective Study of Body Mass Index, Weight Change, and Risk of Stroke in Women
JAMA, May 21, 1997; 277(19): 1539 - 1545.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
R. Klein, B. E. K. Klein, and S. E. Moss
Is Obesity Related to Microvascular and Macrovascular Complications in Diabetes? The Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy
Arch Intern Med, March 24, 1997; 157(6): 650 - 656.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
J. Salmeron, J. E. Manson, M. J. Stampfer, G. A. Colditz, A. L. Wing, and W. C. Willett
Dietary Fiber, Glycemic Load, and Risk of Non--insulin-dependent Diabetes Mellitus in Women
JAMA, February 12, 1997; 277(6): 472 - 477.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
G. C. Curhan, W. C. Willett, E. B. Rimm, D. Spiegelman, A. L. Ascherio, and M. J. Stampfer
Birth Weight and Adult Hypertension, Diabetes Mellitus, and Obesity in US Men
Circulation, December 15, 1996; 94(12): 3246 - 3250.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
F. Grodstein, R. Levine, L. T. T. Spencer, G. A. Colditz, and M. J. Stampfer
Three-Year Follow-up of Participants in a Commercial Weight Loss Program: Can You Keep It Off?
Arch Intern Med, June 24, 1996; 156(12): 1302 - 1306.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
E. B Rimm, J. Chan, M. J Stampfer, G. A Colditz, and W. C Willett
Prospective study of cigarette smoking, alcohol use, and the risk of diabetes in men
BMJ, March 4, 1995; 310(6979): 555 - 559.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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JAMAHome page
W. C. Willett, J. E. Manson, M. J. Stampfer, G. A. Colditz, B. Rosner, F. E. Speizer, and C. H. Hennekens
Weight, Weight Change, and Coronary Heart Disease in Women: Risk Within the 'Normal' Weight Range
JAMA, February 8, 1995; 273(6): 461 - 465.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
J. E. Manson, G. A. Colditz, and M. J. Stampfer
Parity, Ponderosity, and the Paradox of a Weight-Preoccupied Society
JAMA, June 8, 1994; 271(22): 1788 - 1790.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
J. L. Carson, M. E. Ruddy, A. E. Duff, N. J. Holmes, R. P. Cody, and R. E. Brolin
The Effect of Gastric Bypass Surgery on Hypertension in Morbidly Obese Patients
Arch Intern Med, January 24, 1994; 154(2): 193 - 200.
[Abstract] [PDF]



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