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American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 120, No. 3: 379-386
Copyright © 1984 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health


research-article

CHANGING INCIDENCE OF ABDOMINAL AORTIC ANEURYSMS: A POPULATION-BASED STUDY

L. JOSEPH MELTON, III1,, LINDA K. BICKERSTAFF2, LARRY H. HOLLIER2, HUBERT J. VAN PEENEN2, J. T. LIE3, PETER C. PAIROLERO2, KENNETH J. CHERRY2 and W. MICHAEL O'FALLON1

1Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Mayo Clinic and Mayo Foundation Rochester, MN
2aepartment of Surgery, Mayo Clinic
3Department of Pathology, Mayo Clinic

Send reprint requests to Dr. L. J. Melton, III, Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905.

The apparent incidence of abdominal aortic aneurysms among Rochester, Minnesota reidents increased seven-told between 1951 and 1980, while the incidence of thoracic aortlc aneurysms decllned somewhat. Rates for abdominal aneurysms rose with age and were greater among men. The overall incidence In 1971–1980 was 36.5 per 100,000 person-years. While all clinical classes of abdominal aortlc aneurysms became more frequent, the greatest rise in incidence was for small, asymptomatic, and uncomplicated aneurysms whlch suggested an important role for more complete case ascertainment in recent years. The secular trend in abdominal aortlc aneurysm incidence seems to be different from that observed for stroke or for coronary heart disease in the same community.

aortic aneurysm; dlagnosls


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